July 18, 2013
Michael Harris
Unless the Foreign Secretary ups the pressure on Burma the apparatus of the military dictatorship will remain, writes Michael Harris
If you want to know how much has changed in Burma since the much-vaulted transition, try and put on a punk gig in the capital, Rangoon. It’ll take two months and require the signatures of eight bureaucrats from varying levels of government. You may never get permission. But to punks in Burma, the idea they may even be able to play publicly at all is progress.
This is transition Burma, a country full of contradictions where the military
no longer hold captive Aung San Suu Kyi and have released some of the
thousands of her fellow political prisoners – yet the full apparatus of the
military state still exists. The worry is, while the UK and US drop
sanctions and William Hague took
the time to congratulate President Thein Sein in London for the progress
made, little is being done to keep this progress on track. With the army
implicit in the ethnic
cleansing of the Rohingya Muslims and the country on the verge of
widespread unrest, Burma is merely a few steps away from a full blown
military dictatorship.
The transition to civilian rule is supposed to be making steady progress, yet
power lies in the same place – with the military. As one journalist told us,
“the generals have only changed their suits”. The sight of Aung San Suu Kyi
alongside 43 of her National League for Democracy compatriots elected to
Parliament in 2012 was hugely symbolic. But it is no more than symbolism for
the League to hold an eleventh of the seats in the lower house.
The Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), a front for the old
military junta, still controls all the main institutions of state. The USDP
controls the presidency, nearly half the seats in the lower house and over
half the seats in the upper house of the Burmese parliament. When the seats
directly appointed by the military are included, the USDP has an
overwhelming majority in both chambers. The majority of these USDP
parliamentarians are former army officers or government officials with
strong military connections. The lifting of economic sanctions will prompt
new trade with Burma, but the West will be dealing directly with these
generals who control both the state and many of the major economic
interests.
So it’s surprising to see that even with power lying with the military and its
associates, Burma is still far freer than it was. The generals have
responded positively to the tough sanctions imposed by the EU and US. The
last time Index visited Burma in 2010, our researcher had to go undercover
and feared for his liberty. Before meeting dissidents, he would be taken to
at least two separate locations by go-betweens.
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